Suffolk University (9/21-24, likely voters):
Jeanne Shaheen (D): 41
John Sununu (R-inc): 40
Ken Blevens (L): 3
(MoE: ±4%)
We’re getting a deluge of New Hampshire polls now, and we’re getting a wide range of results. Suffolk seems to fall in the ‘we have a real race on our hands’ camp. Throw this on the pile with all the other polls, and it does look like there’s a general tightening trend.
The same sample shows Obama beating McCain 46-45, and governor John Lynch beating Joe Kenney 61 to a pitiable 16.
NH voters are generally no tax govt off our backs, so maybe repubs are getting traction by blocking the bailout.
as Todd Beeton argued on MyDD
http://www.mydd.com/story/2008…
I’d doubt both. It seems to me that Sununu underperformed all summer. this is a race where Dems try to beat an incumbent, not an open race as in virginia, new mexiko or colorado.
while I think the rasmussen poll is an outlier this one is nonetheless good news, Sununu does not break 44 % (except in that rasmussen poll) this is poison for an incumbent, given that most of the undecideds (usually at least 2/3) will move to the callenger